Multi-Agent Portfolio

# MAP Daily — 2026-08-11

## Snapshot
- Valor: **$9,915.78** | Cash: **$950** (9.6%) | Capital inicial $10,000
- Return: **−0.84%** | SPY desde inception: **−0.35%** | **α −0.49 pp**
- Day PnL: **−$91.34** (pre-trades MTM)
- Posiciones: 10 | Trades hoy: ADD V, ADD LLY, ADD JPM ($1,450)

## Mercado
Wall Street baja; US-Iran/Hormuz pesimista. GOOGL −3.8%, ORCL −3.7%, AMZN −2.1%, BRK-B −2.5%. META/JPM/V verdes leves. SPY 770.56.

## Acciones ejecutadas
1. ADD V +1.240284 @ $362.82 ($450) → shares 2.905, tgt 11%
2. ADD LLY +0.411624 @ $1,214.70 ($500) → shares 1.062, tgt 13%
3. ADD JPM +1.381063 @ $362.04 ($500) → shares 3.611, tgt 13%

## Outcomes t+1 (entries 2026-08-10)
META +0.66% · JPM +0.91% · V +0.66% · XOM +0.27% · MSFT −0.58% · LLY −1.19% · AMZN −2.19% · BRK-B −2.10% · GOOGL −3.69% · ORCL −3.89%

## Contexto para mañana
- Vigilar GOOGL repair vs breakdown; MSFT mean-reversion post RSI87.
- No chase STRL/OSCR/ZETA sin estructura + volumen.
- Cash ~$950: margen para 1 starter si aparece edge limpio, sin full-deploy.

# MAP Debate — 2026-08-11

## Market
SPY $770.56 (−0.35% vs MAP baseline $773.27). Risk-off: US-Iran/Hormuz optimism faded; oil firmer. Book day PnL ≈ −$91; α vs SPY ≈ −0.49 pp.

## Ronda 1 (blind)
- **Sentiment:** Constructive mega-caps (LLY/JPM/MSFT high); ORCL hype_risk; STRL/OSCR post-print weak reaction.
- **Quant:** Tape selectivo. MSFT extended_chase RSI87; GOOGL breakdown 5d−9%; V best (MA20 pullback 0.76); AMZN healthy 0.68; STRL repair; OSCR breakdown.
- **Fundamental:** Quality alta en GOOGL/MSFT/V/LLY/JPM/AMZN. XOM miss leve. STRL growth discourse medium. OSCR speculative.

## Ronda 2 (cross-debate)
- **Sentiment** bajó MSFT 0.72→0.57 (chase), GOOGL 0.58→0.45, ORCL 0.42→0.38, STRL/OSCR; subió V 0.70→0.73 y AMZN 0.68→0.70.
- **Quant** firmó: no cedió a hype. Scores R2 = R1 en traps duros.
- **Fundamental** mantuvo calidad intrínseca; temperó ORCL 0.74→0.72, STRL 0.70→0.66, OSCR 0.58→0.55. Timing = Quant/PM.

## Risk
- Vetos ADD/BUY: MSFT (extended_chase), GOOGL (breakdown), META (WATCH+conc), ORCL (PASS), STRL (repair vol), OSCR (breakdown).
- ADD OK: V max $450, LLY $500, JPM $500, AMZN $400 (PM skip por concentración mega-tech).
- global_halt=false. Cash floor $500 OK.

## CS table
| Ticker | CS | Q | F | S | Veto | Action | Reason |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---|
| V | 0.759 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.73 | False | BUY |  |
| LLY | 0.720 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.75 | False | BUY |  |
| AMZN | 0.713 | 0.68 | 0.76 | 0.70 | False | BUY | mega-tech concentration — max_notional 400 |
| JPM | 0.703 | 0.62 | 0.77 | 0.74 | False | BUY |  |
| BRK-B | 0.644 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.64 | False | WATCHLIST |  |
| XOM | 0.640 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.63 | False | WATCHLIST |  |
| META | 0.551 | 0.42 | 0.68 | 0.58 | True | PASS | CS WATCH only; mega-cap concentration |
| STRL | 0.543 | 0.48 | 0.66 | 0.48 | True | PASS | repair RSI29 anemic vol — veto new BUY |
| MSFT | 0.527 | 0.28 | 0.78 | 0.57 | True | PASS | extended_chase RSI87; veto ADD |
| ORCL | 0.483 | 0.34 | 0.72 | 0.38 | True | PASS | CS PASS; extension + relative AI loser |
| GOOGL | 0.480 | 0.22 | 0.80 | 0.45 | True | PASS | breakdown day-3.8 5d-9; no ADD |
| OSCR | 0.394 | 0.24 | 0.55 | 0.42 | True | PASS | breakdown — veto BUY |


## PM decisión
- **ADD V** $450 @ 362.82 (CS 0.76) — mejor estructura quant + payments diversifier → tgt 11%
- **ADD LLY** $500 @ 1214.70 (CS 0.72) — GLP-1 quality → tgt 13%
- **ADD JPM** $500 @ 362.04 (CS 0.70) — banks diversifier → tgt 13%
- **NO ADD AMZN** pese a CS 0.71 (mega-tech ya ~40%; cash discipline)
- HOLD resto; no SELL (sin thesis-break)
- Cash post ≈ $950 (9.6%)

# MAP Decisions — 2026-08-11

## Ejecutado
| Action | Ticker | Shares | Price | Notional | CS | Notes |
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
| ADD | V | 1.240284 | 362.82 | 450 | 0.760 | Best quant structure |
| ADD | LLY | 0.411624 | 1214.70 | 500 | 0.720 | GLP-1 diversifier |
| ADD | JPM | 1.381063 | 362.04 | 500 | 0.703 | Banks diversifier |

## Explicit no-trade
- AMZN CS 0.713 BUY score but **PM skip ADD** (mega-tech concentration; Risk severity moderate).
- MSFT/GOOGL/ORCL/META/STRL/OSCR: Risk veto or PASS.

## Liquidez
Cash $2400 → $950 (≥$500). No full deploy. Sell≠replace N/A.